Having reached the point where I can say conclusively that I've been around for a while, I'm here today to say that I do not recall anytime in my many years that so many people I know or read have expressed so much apprehension for the coming of a new year.
Everyone is expecting the worst.
It comes up in conversation -- ok, mostly with my lefty, Trump-despising cronies -- but also in blogs, in comments, in asides from strangers. With "Jesus, this one going to be sick ... ", being -- in para-phrased form -- a common refrain. Maybe you do, but I don't remember this as the calendar turned from say, 2013 to 2014. Or even 1967 to '68, and '68 was a seriously bad year anyway anyone looks at it.
For a while I was thinking of doing a semi-facetious list of the ways 2024 is really going to jump the rails of common sense, decency, legality, etc. This list would have included predictions like:
1: Thanks to a ruling of the Supreme Court, with Clarence Thomas refusing to recuse, Donald Trump will be declared the winner of the 2024 election despite again losing the popular vote by millions. Legal battles in Ohio, Michigan and Arizona will result in the Court certifying contested Electoral College electors mere days before the inauguration.
2: Violent protests will erupt across the country and in D.C. as a result, suspending the inauguration and forcing Trump to take the oath indoors under heavy security.
3: An "October surprise" -- a startlingly realistic AI-generated deep fake -- will so badly damage Joe Biden, much as the Comey letter eroded Hillary Clinton's support days before the election in 2016, that it will shave tens of thousands of votes in key states, putting a Court decision about the Electoral College in complete control of asserting the winner.
And so on ...
But, good lord! What a bummer, right? Who wants to think about this stuff, even if -- guessing here -- millions already are?
While I continue to doubt both Biden and Trump will make the 2024 ballot, neither has any serious impediment -- other than age -- in this first week of the new year. I can not imagine the Supreme Court, its dogmatic allegiance to "originalism" withstanding, will do anything to complicate Trump's myriad legal fights. It certainly won't uphold Colorado's 14th amendment decision, no doubt resting its decision on an argument Sam Alito intuits from a Spanish Inquisition case from 1503.
Likewise, in my morose stupor of the moment, I predict the same Court will strategize a way to avoid making any definitive decision on Jack Smith's request for a ruling on Trump's total immunity from prosecution on anything; parking tickets, exploiting illegal immigrant labor, stiffing contractors, raping women in department store dressing rooms, inciting a riot to overthrow the government, you name it. The Alito-Thomas bloc will devise a plan effectively exonerating Trump, certainly until after he's reelected, at which point he can (and will) pardon himself.
I had a couple dozen more like this penciled in for added emphasis, but, damn man! It's just too dystopian, even for me, a guy who can't wait for the "Mad Max: Fury Road" sequel.
One thing that constantly rattles through my alleged brain though is how much of the over-arching chaos of this moment, and the looming chaos of 2024 (and beyond), rests at the feet of two people: Trump and Vladimir Putin, two guys who are not exactly unfamiliar or uninvested in each other.
Putin is obviously the key element in the war in Ukraine, and the powerful suspicion is that he is also a primary figure behind Iran's support of Hamas and Hezbollah, on the grounds that any and all chaos that absorbs and consumes western democracies serves his long term interests.
It seems smart to bet that Putin's long-standing support for Trump -- via internet troll farms and social media disinformation -- will, as I suggest with that "October surprise" business -- only accelerate and become much more sophisticated this year, since a Trump defeat could likely seal Putin's fate as well among the Russian elites.
Anyway, I promise I'm scouring the web for more uplifting topics to rant on about in the months to come. Maybe even something about Taylor Swift! Please stay tuned.
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